Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Clarity Medical Group Holding's (HKG:1406) Cash Burn Situation

Published
SEHK:1406

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Clarity Medical Group Holding (HKG:1406) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Clarity Medical Group Holding

When Might Clarity Medical Group Holding Run Out Of Money?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at September 2024, Clarity Medical Group Holding had cash of HK$122m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through HK$16m. So it had a cash runway of about 7.6 years from September 2024. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

SEHK:1406 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2025

How Well Is Clarity Medical Group Holding Growing?

Happily, Clarity Medical Group Holding is travelling in the right direction when it comes to its cash burn, which is down 72% over the last year. But it was a bit disconcerting to see operating revenue down 15% in that time. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Clarity Medical Group Holding is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For Clarity Medical Group Holding To Raise More Cash For Growth?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Clarity Medical Group Holding has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Clarity Medical Group Holding's cash burn of HK$16m is about 8.0% of its HK$201m market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About Clarity Medical Group Holding's Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Clarity Medical Group Holding's cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 2 warning signs for Clarity Medical Group Holding (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Of course Clarity Medical Group Holding may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.