Dekon Food and Agriculture Group

SZSC:2419 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$14.4b

Dekon Food and Agriculture Group Valuation

Is 2419 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2419 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2419 (HK$37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$166.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2419 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2419?

Key metric: As 2419 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2419. This is calculated by dividing 2419's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2419's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.2x
EarningsCN¥2.17b
Market CapCN¥13.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2419's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2419 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.4x
1579 Yihai International Holding
15.6x10.9%HK$13.4b
345 Vitasoy International Holdings
97.3x27.6%HK$11.3b
9985 WEILONG Delicious Global Holdings
15x13.4%HK$17.0b
142 First Pacific
5.8x20.9%HK$19.7b
2419 Dekon Food and Agriculture Group
6.2x38.3%HK$14.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2419 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the peer average (33.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2419's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Food Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
809 Global Bio-chem Technology Group
0.2xn/aUS$85.81m
No more companies available in this PE range
2419 6.2xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2419 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.2x) compared to the Hong Kong Food industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2419's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2419 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 2419's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2419 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$37.00
HK$64.64
+74.7%
2.1%HK$66.00HK$63.28n/a2
Nov ’25HK$38.00
HK$64.64
+70.1%
2.1%HK$66.00HK$63.28n/a2
Oct ’25HK$47.65
HK$64.64
+35.7%
2.1%HK$66.00HK$63.28n/a2
Sep ’25n/a
HK$64.61
0%
2.2%HK$66.01HK$63.21n/a2
Aug ’25n/a
HK$67.41
0%
2.1%HK$68.81HK$66.01n/a2
Jul ’25n/a
HK$67.41
0%
2.1%HK$68.81HK$66.01n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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