Nissin Foods Company Limited

SHSC:1475 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$4.9b

Nissin Foods Valuation

Is 1475 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1475 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1475 (HK$4.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$5.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1475 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1475?

Key metric: As 1475 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1475. This is calculated by dividing 1475's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1475's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15x
EarningsHK$327.97m
Market CapHK$4.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1475's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1475 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average54.4x
1497 Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest Industry
29.8x23.8%HK$5.0b
6683 Star Plus Legend Holdings
94.6x33.5%HK$4.7b
6868 Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings
20.3xn/aHK$4.0b
1458 Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings
73.1x53.3%HK$3.7b
1475 Nissin Foods
15x7.5%HK$4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1475 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the peer average (54.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1475's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Food Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
809 Global Bio-chem Technology Group
0.2xn/aUS$85.81m
No more companies available in this PE range
1475 15.0xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1475 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the Hong Kong Food industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1475's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1475 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15x
Fair PE Ratio12.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1475 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1475 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$4.70
HK$5.76
+22.5%
14.0%HK$6.60HK$4.90n/a4
Nov ’25HK$4.47
HK$5.63
+26.0%
16.8%HK$6.60HK$4.50n/a4
Oct ’25HK$4.56
HK$5.63
+23.5%
16.8%HK$6.60HK$4.50n/a4
Sep ’25HK$4.29
HK$5.78
+34.8%
14.9%HK$6.60HK$4.50n/a4
Aug ’25HK$4.53
HK$6.31
+39.2%
14.0%HK$7.63HK$5.50n/a4
Jul ’25HK$4.85
HK$6.31
+30.1%
14.0%HK$7.63HK$5.50n/a4
Jun ’25HK$4.83
HK$6.31
+30.6%
14.0%HK$7.63HK$5.50n/a4
May ’25HK$5.14
HK$6.01
+16.9%
20.7%HK$7.63HK$4.30n/a4
Apr ’25HK$4.95
HK$6.15
+24.2%
23.4%HK$8.20HK$4.30n/a4
Mar ’25HK$4.95
HK$6.75
+36.4%
23.1%HK$8.20HK$4.30n/a4
Feb ’25HK$5.85
HK$6.95
+18.8%
18.0%HK$8.20HK$5.10n/a4
Jan ’25HK$6.25
HK$7.08
+13.2%
17.4%HK$8.20HK$5.10n/a4
Dec ’24HK$6.14
HK$7.08
+15.2%
17.4%HK$8.20HK$5.10n/a4
Nov ’24HK$5.99
HK$7.30
+21.9%
21.2%HK$9.30HK$5.10HK$4.474
Oct ’24HK$6.00
HK$7.30
+21.7%
21.2%HK$9.30HK$5.10HK$4.564
Sep ’24HK$6.09
HK$7.30
+19.9%
21.2%HK$9.30HK$5.10HK$4.294
Aug ’24HK$6.21
HK$7.74
+24.6%
11.1%HK$9.30HK$6.90HK$4.535
Jul ’24HK$6.70
HK$7.84
+17.0%
10.6%HK$9.30HK$6.90HK$4.855
Jun ’24HK$6.78
HK$7.72
+13.9%
12.8%HK$9.30HK$6.30HK$4.835
May ’24HK$7.00
HK$7.70
+10.0%
12.8%HK$9.30HK$6.30HK$5.145
Apr ’24HK$6.93
HK$7.62
+10.0%
13.1%HK$9.30HK$6.30HK$4.955
Mar ’24n/a
HK$7.70
0%
13.1%HK$9.00HK$6.30HK$4.955
Feb ’24n/a
HK$7.70
0%
13.1%HK$9.00HK$6.30HK$5.855
Jan ’24n/a
HK$7.48
0%
13.9%HK$9.00HK$6.30HK$6.256
Dec ’23n/a
HK$7.48
0%
13.9%HK$9.00HK$6.30HK$6.146
Nov ’23n/a
HK$7.66
0%
12.4%HK$8.71HK$6.40HK$5.995

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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