Stock Analysis

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings' (HKG:6868) Dividend Is Being Reduced To CN¥0.04

SEHK:6868
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Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited (HKG:6868) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to CN¥0.04 on the 26th of September. However, the dividend yield of 5.8% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. At the time of the last dividend payment, Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 129% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Earnings per share could rise by 9.3% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 113%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
SEHK:6868 Historic Dividend August 19th 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CN¥0.13 in 2012 to the most recent total annual payment of CN¥0.251. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 6.8% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

We Could See Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings' Dividend Growing

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings has been growing its earnings per share at 9.3% a year over the past five years. EPS has been growing at a reasonable rate, although with most of the profits being paid out to shareholders, growth prospects could be more limited in the future.

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. Strong earnings growth means Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We don't think Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.