China Suntien Green Energy (SHSC:956) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of 956 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

956 (HK$3.32) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$23.69)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 956 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 956 (HK$3.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$23.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 956 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 956?

Key metric: As 956 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 956. This is calculated by dividing 956's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 956's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	6.1x
Earnings	CN¥2.14b
Market Cap	CN¥24.05b

956 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.1x
PEG Ratio	0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 956's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 956 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13.6x
1138 COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation	9.4x	24.9%	HK$54.6b
934 Sinopec Kantons Holdings	8.6x	5.8%	HK$10.6b
1277 Kinetic Development Group	4.2x	n/a	HK$11.8b
1164 CGN Mining	32.1x	25.8%	HK$13.8b
956 China Suntien Green Energy	6.1x	12.1%	HK$25.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 956 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 956's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Oil and Gas Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
276 Mongolia Energy	0.08x	n/a	US$17.64m
663 King Stone Energy Group	1.3x	n/a	US$15.51m

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 956 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 956's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

956 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	6.1x
Fair PE Ratio	8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 956 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 956 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	HK$3.32	HK$4.11 +23.8%	6.0%	HK$4.52	HK$3.85	n/a	6
Nov ’25	HK$3.48	HK$4.16 +19.6%	6.1%	HK$4.58	HK$3.89	n/a	6
Oct ’25	HK$3.65	HK$4.03 +10.3%	8.5%	HK$4.59	HK$3.49	n/a	6
Sep ’25	HK$3.30	HK$4.07 +23.2%	8.4%	HK$4.61	HK$3.50	n/a	6
Aug ’25	HK$3.27	HK$4.09 +25.1%	8.9%	HK$4.54	HK$3.51	n/a	6
Jul ’25	HK$3.54	HK$4.10 +15.8%	9.8%	HK$4.80	HK$3.49	n/a	7
Jun ’25	HK$3.68	HK$3.91 +6.3%	8.6%	HK$4.52	HK$3.49	n/a	7
May ’25	HK$3.21	HK$3.76 +17.2%	7.0%	HK$4.11	HK$3.43	n/a	7
Apr ’25	HK$2.96	HK$3.83 +29.4%	8.4%	HK$4.41	HK$3.44	n/a	8
Mar ’25	HK$3.00	HK$3.81 +26.9%	9.3%	HK$4.43	HK$3.32	n/a	8
Feb ’25	HK$2.72	HK$3.83 +41.0%	9.7%	HK$4.51	HK$3.33	n/a	8
Jan ’25	HK$2.84	HK$3.88 +36.8%	9.5%	HK$4.56	HK$3.37	n/a	8
Dec ’24	HK$2.55	HK$3.90 +53.1%	9.5%	HK$4.53	HK$3.34	n/a	9
Nov ’24	HK$2.71	HK$3.75 +38.3%	10.4%	HK$4.42	HK$3.20	HK$3.48	10
Oct ’24	HK$2.71	HK$3.77 +39.0%	11.6%	HK$4.64	HK$3.16	HK$3.65	10
Sep ’24	HK$2.76	HK$3.98 +44.1%	13.1%	HK$5.03	HK$3.19	HK$3.30	10
Aug ’24	HK$2.87	HK$4.07 +41.9%	12.4%	HK$5.07	HK$3.21	HK$3.27	10
Jul ’24	HK$2.81	HK$4.03 +43.3%	13.1%	HK$5.03	HK$3.03	HK$3.54	10
Jun ’24	HK$2.97	HK$4.19 +41.1%	12.0%	HK$4.84	HK$3.15	HK$3.68	8
May ’24	HK$3.43	HK$4.30 +25.3%	15.5%	HK$5.52	HK$3.20	HK$3.21	7
Apr ’24	HK$3.43	HK$4.31 +25.5%	15.3%	HK$5.53	HK$3.23	HK$2.96	7
Mar ’24	HK$3.58	HK$4.57 +27.6%	15.8%	HK$5.48	HK$3.20	HK$3.00	8
Feb ’24	HK$3.67	HK$4.74 +29.1%	14.7%	HK$5.57	HK$3.43	HK$2.72	8
Jan ’24	HK$3.25	HK$4.47 +37.6%	14.5%	HK$5.25	HK$3.23	HK$2.84	8
Dec ’23	HK$3.27	HK$4.47 +36.7%	14.5%	HK$5.25	HK$3.23	HK$2.55	8
Nov ’23	HK$3.00	HK$4.60 +53.2%	17.1%	HK$5.80	HK$3.21	HK$2.71	8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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