CNOOC Valuation

Is 80883 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 80883 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 80883 (CN¥15.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥46.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 80883 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 80883?

Key metric: As 80883 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 80883. This is calculated by dividing 80883's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 80883's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
EarningsCN¥142.86b
Market CapCN¥789.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 80883's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 80883 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
386 China Petroleum & Chemical
9.6x9.5%HK$758.9b
1088 China Shenhua Energy
10.6x-0.7%HK$840.7b
857 PetroChina
5.9x-3.8%HK$1.5t
1898 China Coal Energy
7x1.9%HK$166.5b
80883 CNOOC
5.3x-1.7%CN¥849.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 80883 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 80883's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
276 Mongolia Energy
0.08xn/aUS$16.92m
663 King Stone Energy Group
1.3xn/aUS$15.51m
No more companies available in this PE range
80883 5.3xIndustry Avg. 9.6xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 80883 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 80883's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

80883 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio9.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 80883 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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