Stock Analysis

Is Yuan Heng Gas Holdings (HKG:332) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:332
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Yuan Heng Gas Holdings Limited (HKG:332) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Yuan Heng Gas Holdings

What Is Yuan Heng Gas Holdings's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yuan Heng Gas Holdings had CN¥1.13b in debt in September 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥63.5m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.07b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:332 Debt to Equity History January 4th 2023

A Look At Yuan Heng Gas Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yuan Heng Gas Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥224.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥63.5m and CN¥1.36b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥598.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥677.6m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about Yuan Heng Gas Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.4 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even worse, Yuan Heng Gas Holdings saw its EBIT tank 42% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Yuan Heng Gas Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Yuan Heng Gas Holdings recorded free cash flow of 36% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Yuan Heng Gas Holdings's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Yuan Heng Gas Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Yuan Heng Gas Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:332

Yuan Heng Gas Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the trading of oil and gas products, and the provision of related consultancy services in the People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Singapore.

Slight and slightly overvalued.

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