Stock Analysis

Does Dalipal Holdings (HKG:1921) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Dalipal Holdings Limited (HKG:1921) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Dalipal Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2025 Dalipal Holdings had debt of CN¥2.52b, up from CN¥2.04b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥355.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.17b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1921 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2025

A Look At Dalipal Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dalipal Holdings had liabilities of CN¥2.02b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.41b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥355.5m and CN¥1.21b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.87b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Dalipal Holdings is worth CN¥8.68b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

Check out our latest analysis for Dalipal Holdings

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Dalipal Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (12.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.67 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Dalipal Holdings's EBIT was down 38% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dalipal Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Dalipal Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 80% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Both Dalipal Holdings's EBIT growth rate and its interest cover were discouraging. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Dalipal Holdings is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Dalipal Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.