The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that China Coal Energy Company Limited (HKG:1898) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does China Coal Energy Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2025 China Coal Energy had debt of CN¥68.8b, up from CN¥64.6b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥85.9b in cash, so it actually has CN¥17.1b net cash.
How Healthy Is China Coal Energy's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, China Coal Energy had liabilities of CN¥108.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥59.8b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥85.9b and CN¥15.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥66.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because China Coal Energy is worth a massive CN¥165.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Coal Energy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Check out our latest analysis for China Coal Energy
But the bad news is that China Coal Energy has seen its EBIT plunge 17% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Coal Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While China Coal Energy has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, China Coal Energy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While China Coal Energy does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥17.1b. So we are not troubled with China Coal Energy's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with China Coal Energy , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1898
China Coal Energy
China Coal Energy Company Limited mines, produces, processes, trades in, and sells coal in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.
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