Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd.

SHSC:2611 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$168.3b

Guotai Junan Securities Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Guotai Junan Securities is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.9% and 7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.5% in 3 years.

Key information

12.9%

Earnings growth rate

12.7%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth22.0%
Revenue growth rate7.0%
Future return on equity7.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated21 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSC:2611 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202644,38013,512N/AN/A7
12/31/202541,15212,334N/AN/A8
12/31/202439,13011,979N/AN/A6
9/30/202437,6059,55865,40966,676N/A
6/30/202433,7507,875-1,011197N/A
3/31/202433,5708,11113,76814,937N/A
12/31/202335,1298,6626,0387,204N/A
9/30/202334,55411,181-3,776-1,798N/A
6/30/202333,72410,22026,22328,261N/A
3/31/202336,27211,50310,11212,026N/A
12/31/202235,02210,98148,94850,732N/A
9/30/202236,91611,40338,99239,795N/A
6/30/202239,67812,97057,30057,914N/A
3/31/202238,73112,71841,24942,030N/A
12/31/202141,76414,6119,51210,366N/A
9/30/202140,19513,34925,46926,298N/A
6/30/202139,71313,025-5,964-5,181N/A
3/31/202138,82613,251-7,952-7,103N/A
12/31/202033,89010,66621,43422,230N/A
9/30/202034,15610,3954,2835,338N/A
6/30/202030,7168,4237,8009,048N/A
3/31/202027,7816,81035,42836,612N/A
12/31/201928,5887,99034,61336,396N/A
9/30/201925,4837,15255,62657,273N/A
6/30/201924,3817,12970,09371,625N/A
3/31/201922,6286,86454,49155,970N/A
12/31/201821,7836,11872,65373,572N/A
9/30/201821,9037,76822,78123,541N/A
6/30/201822,3988,544N/A-3,554N/A
3/31/201823,3388,988N/A-7,315N/A
12/31/201723,1529,292N/A-63,794N/A
9/30/201722,4668,640N/A-48,272N/A
6/30/201723,1908,988N/A-68,539N/A
3/31/201723,2549,440N/A-81,786N/A
12/31/201625,7169,251N/A-58,816N/A
9/30/201628,59010,886N/A-101,964N/A
6/30/201629,04110,583N/A-102,578N/A
3/31/201638,26514,740N/A5,960N/A
12/31/201537,63915,201N/A28,159N/A
9/30/201536,07214,786N/A109,175N/A
6/30/201533,93814,245N/A161,790N/A
3/31/201522,7068,641N/A61,809N/A
12/31/201417,6466,758N/A49,415N/A
9/30/201412,6994,565N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201410,1483,403N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20149,1863,018N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20139,0072,879N/A-12,204N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2611's forecast earnings growth (12.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 2611's earnings (12.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 2611's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 2611's revenue (7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2611's revenue (7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2611's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.5%).


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