Stock Analysis

China Galaxy Securities (HKG:6881) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To CN¥0.2503

SEHK:6881
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China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd. (HKG:6881) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to CN¥0.2503 on the 28th of August. However, the dividend yield of 5.9% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for China Galaxy Securities

China Galaxy Securities' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, China Galaxy Securities was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 37.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 26% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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SEHK:6881 Historic Dividend July 2nd 2023

China Galaxy Securities' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CN¥0.062 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of CN¥0.23. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that China Galaxy Securities has been growing its earnings per share at 16% a year over the past five years. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for China Galaxy Securities' prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

We Really Like China Galaxy Securities' Dividend

It is generally not great to see the dividend being cut, but we don't think this should happen much if at all in the future given that China Galaxy Securities has the makings of a solid income stock moving forward. By reducing the dividend, pressure will be taken off the balance sheet, which could help the dividend to be consistent in the future. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Galaxy Securities that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.