Stock Analysis

Even after rising 14% this past week, China Success Finance Group Holdings (HKG:3623) shareholders are still down 25% over the past three years

SEHK:3623
Source: Shutterstock

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. We regret to report that long term China Success Finance Group Holdings Limited (HKG:3623) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 25% in three years, versus a market decline of about 15%.

While the last three years has been tough for China Success Finance Group Holdings shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

Check out our latest analysis for China Success Finance Group Holdings

China Success Finance Group Holdings wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

In the last three years China Success Finance Group Holdings saw its revenue shrink by 52% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. With revenue in decline, the share price decline of 8% per year is hardly undeserved. It would probably be worth asking whether the company can fund itself to profitability. The company will need to return to revenue growth as quickly as possible, if it wants to see some enthusiasm from investors.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3623 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 22nd 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling China Success Finance Group Holdings stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that China Success Finance Group Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 7.1% over one year. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 0.8%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Success Finance Group Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for China Success Finance Group Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.