Yum China Holdings, Inc.

SHSC:9987 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$119.4b

Yum China Holdings Valuation

Is 9987 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9987 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HK$387.34
Fair Value
14.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 9987 (HK$331.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$387.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9987 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9987?

Key metric: As 9987 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9987. This is calculated by dividing 9987's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9987's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.7x
EarningsUS$919.00m
Market CapUS$15.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9987's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9987 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.1x
6862 Haidilao International Holding
15x9.18%HK$72.6b
2097 MIXUE Group
10x14.45%HK$57.5b
1364 Guming Holdings
19.3x9.34%HK$49.9b
3690 Meituan
20.1x31.66%HK$648.1b
9987 Yum China Holdings
16.7x8.22%HK$15.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9987 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the peer average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9987's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Hospitality Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1383 LET Group Holdings
1.3xn/aUS$38.09m
1655 Okura Holdings
1.3xn/aUS$12.26m
8056 Life Concepts Holdings
0.6xn/aUS$3.61m
8475 E-Station Green Technology Group
0.1xn/aUS$604.45k
No more companies available in this PE range
9987 16.7xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9987 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Hospitality industry average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9987's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9987 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9987 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9987 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$331.80
HK$454.07
+36.85%
8.32%HK$591.48HK$412.48n/a22
Sep ’26HK$349.80
HK$455.95
+30.34%
8.11%HK$592.55HK$414.00n/a22
Aug ’26HK$367.80
HK$456.93
+24.23%
8.41%HK$596.60HK$408.20n/a22
Jul ’26HK$351.40
HK$461.84
+31.43%
9.55%HK$596.60HK$408.20n/a23
Jun ’26HK$346.60
HK$456.99
+31.85%
8.33%HK$595.76HK$407.62n/a23
May ’26HK$362.60
HK$463.11
+27.72%
8.91%HK$589.52HK$403.35n/a25
Apr ’26HK$405.40
HK$463.02
+14.21%
11.81%HK$591.23HK$272.28n/a25
Mar ’26HK$384.40
HK$461.96
+20.18%
11.84%HK$591.07HK$272.20n/a25
Feb ’26HK$353.00
HK$450.43
+27.60%
13.94%HK$592.09HK$272.67n/a25
Jan ’26HK$374.20
HK$443.75
+18.59%
15.57%HK$590.33HK$271.86n/a25
Dec ’25HK$355.00
HK$440.97
+24.22%
15.49%HK$591.38HK$272.35n/a25
Nov ’25HK$343.80
HK$397.84
+15.72%
21.17%HK$590.82HK$272.09n/a25
Oct ’25HK$368.20
HK$362.47
-1.56%
19.53%HK$590.79HK$272.08HK$341.0023
Sep ’25HK$268.20
HK$352.11
+31.29%
19.95%HK$591.90HK$272.59HK$349.8023
Aug ’25HK$235.00
HK$389.85
+65.90%
21.60%HK$593.47HK$234.27HK$367.8023
Jul ’25HK$241.40
HK$410.68
+70.12%
18.67%HK$593.49HK$234.27HK$351.4023
Jun ’25HK$270.80
HK$417.33
+54.11%
17.62%HK$594.06HK$265.76HK$346.6024
May ’25HK$294.40
HK$427.06
+45.06%
17.77%HK$594.59HK$266.00HK$362.6024
Apr ’25HK$308.20
HK$443.38
+43.86%
16.75%HK$625.86HK$264.43HK$405.4024
Mar ’25HK$343.00
HK$449.21
+30.97%
16.96%HK$625.64HK$264.33HK$384.4024
Feb ’25HK$272.80
HK$465.29
+70.56%
18.70%HK$625.44HK$236.10HK$353.0025
Jan ’25HK$332.20
HK$493.86
+48.66%
13.27%HK$623.99HK$340.07HK$374.2025
Dec ’24HK$333.20
HK$503.21
+51.02%
12.93%HK$624.46HK$340.33HK$355.0024
Nov ’24HK$356.20
HK$533.85
+49.87%
12.28%HK$625.86HK$341.10HK$343.8023
Oct ’24HK$441.80
HK$575.15
+30.18%
8.27%HK$656.99HK$391.06HK$368.2024
HK$457.53
Fair Value
27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/04 05:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is covered by 57 analysts. 30 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hong Xing PanABCI Securities Company Limited
Edward LewisAtlantic Equities LLP
Chen LuoBofA Global Research