Guming Holdings Limited

SHSC:1364 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$49.2b

Guming Holdings Valuation

Is 1364 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1364 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HK$28.25
Fair Value
26.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1364 (HK$20.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$28.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1364 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1364?

Key metric: As 1364 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1364. This is calculated by dividing 1364's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1364's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19x
EarningsCN¥2.37b
Market CapCN¥45.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1364's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1364 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.1x
2097 MIXUE Group
9.9x14.45%HK$56.7b
6862 Haidilao International Holding
14.8x9.18%HK$71.8b
2589 Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial
31.9xn/aHK$12.7b
2555 Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial
19.8x37.70%HK$12.1b
1364 Guming Holdings
19x9.34%HK$49.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1364 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (19.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1364's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Hospitality Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1383 LET Group Holdings
1.3xn/aUS$38.09m
1655 Okura Holdings
1.4xn/aUS$12.64m
8056 Life Concepts Holdings
0.5xn/aUS$3.09m
8475 E-Station Green Technology Group
0.1xn/aUS$604.45k
No more companies available in this PE range
1364 19.0xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1364 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the Hong Kong Hospitality industry average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1364's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1364 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1364's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1364 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$20.70
HK$28.72
+38.73%
14.08%HK$34.56HK$21.96n/a10
Sep ’26HK$21.22
HK$29.24
+37.81%
13.43%HK$34.56HK$21.96n/a9
Aug ’26HK$22.95
HK$29.30
+27.69%
12.60%HK$35.23HK$21.98n/a10
Jul ’26HK$25.55
HK$27.93
+9.33%
11.84%HK$32.20HK$21.98n/a7
Jun ’26n/a
HK$25.20
0%
13.88%HK$29.20HK$19.61n/a6
May ’26n/a
HK$22.77
0%
13.54%HK$28.00HK$19.22n/a5
Apr ’26n/a
HK$20.12
0%
4.19%HK$20.96HK$19.28n/a2
HK$28.72
Fair Value
27.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/06 18:17
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/06 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Guming Holdings Limited is covered by 15 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ximin GuChina Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd.
Wenbo ChenChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Ya JiangCitic Securities Co., Ltd.