Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Lai Group Holding Company Limited's (HKG:8455) Share Price

SEHK:8455
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Consumer Services industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.6x, Lai Group Holding Company Limited (HKG:8455) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Lai Group Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8455 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 22nd 2023

How Lai Group Holding Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Lai Group Holding's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lai Group Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lai Group Holding?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Lai Group Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 45% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Lai Group Holding's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Lai Group Holding's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Lai Group Holding confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Lai Group Holding, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lai Group Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.