Stock Analysis

Would MS Concept (HKG:8447) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

SEHK:8447
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, MS Concept Limited (HKG:8447) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is MS Concept's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MS Concept had debt of HK$60.5m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from HK$63.8m over a year. On the flip side, it has HK$28.8m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$31.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8447 Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2022

A Look At MS Concept's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, MS Concept had liabilities of HK$45.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$27.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$28.8m as well as receivables valued at HK$2.21m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$42.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because MS Concept is worth HK$72.0m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MS Concept will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, MS Concept reported revenue of HK$201m, which is a gain of 10%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months MS Concept produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost HK$6.6m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$1.5m. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for MS Concept you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MS Concept is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.