Stock Analysis

Is MS Concept (HKG:8447) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:8447
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that MS Concept Limited (HKG:8447) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MS Concept

What Is MS Concept's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 MS Concept had HK$63.8m of debt, an increase on HK$58.3m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$46.4m, its net debt is less, at about HK$17.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8447 Debt to Equity History September 7th 2021

How Strong Is MS Concept's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that MS Concept had liabilities of HK$59.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$23.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$46.4m and HK$2.11m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$33.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

MS Concept has a market capitalization of HK$88.0m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MS Concept will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year MS Concept had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 14%, to HK$182m. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did MS Concept's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$22m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$172k. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with MS Concept (including 1 which is significant) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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