Stock Analysis

Is Bar Pacific Group Holdings (HKG:8432) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:8432
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Bar Pacific Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8432) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Bar Pacific Group Holdings

How Much Debt Does Bar Pacific Group Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Bar Pacific Group Holdings had debt of HK$154.7m, up from HK$59.9m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8432 Debt to Equity History March 11th 2023

How Healthy Is Bar Pacific Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bar Pacific Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$112.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$67.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$1.91m and HK$2.38m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$175.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$58.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Bar Pacific Group Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bar Pacific Group Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Bar Pacific Group Holdings wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 40%, to HK$130m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Bar Pacific Group Holdings still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$22m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost HK$9.5m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Bar Pacific Group Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.