China YuHua Education Corporation Limited

SEHK:6169 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$1.4b

China YuHua Education Valuation

Is 6169 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6169 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6169 (HK$0.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$2.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6169 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6169?

Key metric: As 6169 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6169. This is calculated by dividing 6169's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6169's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio1.8x
EarningsCN¥741.23m
Market CapCN¥1.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6169's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6169 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.4x
2779 China Xinhua Education Group
3.4xn/aHK$1.3b
1935 JH Educational Technology
2.8xn/aHK$1.3b
9616 Neusoft Education Technology
3.5x8.6%HK$1.6b
1525 Shanghai Gench Education Group
4.1xn/aHK$1.2b
6169 China YuHua Education
1.8x-3.0%HK$1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6169 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (3.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6169's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6169 1.8xIndustry Avg. 6.1xNo. of Companies9PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6169 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.8x) compared to the Hong Kong Consumer Services industry average (6.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6169's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6169 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.8x
Fair PE Ratio6.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6169 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6169 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$0.39
HK$0.95
+142.6%
15.8%HK$1.10HK$0.80n/a2
Nov ’25HK$0.42
HK$0.95
+125.2%
15.8%HK$1.10HK$0.80n/a2
Oct ’25HK$0.50
HK$0.95
+89.2%
15.8%HK$1.10HK$0.80n/a2
Sep ’25HK$0.41
HK$0.95
+127.9%
15.8%HK$1.10HK$0.80n/a2
Aug ’25HK$0.43
HK$0.95
+120.0%
15.8%HK$1.10HK$0.80n/a2
Jul ’25HK$0.41
HK$1.09
+162.5%
21.4%HK$1.37HK$0.80n/a3
Jun ’25HK$0.48
HK$1.09
+127.0%
21.4%HK$1.37HK$0.80n/a3
May ’25HK$0.68
HK$1.09
+60.2%
21.4%HK$1.37HK$0.80n/a3
Apr ’25HK$0.75
HK$1.33
+76.9%
12.6%HK$1.49HK$1.10n/a3
Mar ’25HK$0.58
HK$1.33
+128.7%
12.6%HK$1.49HK$1.10n/a3
Feb ’25HK$0.39
HK$1.33
+240.1%
12.6%HK$1.49HK$1.10n/a3
Jan ’25HK$0.55
HK$1.40
+154.2%
13.6%HK$1.61HK$1.10n/a4
Dec ’24HK$0.59
HK$2.89
+390.2%
99.0%HK$9.27HK$1.25n/a6
Nov ’24HK$0.59
HK$2.89
+390.2%
99.0%HK$9.27HK$1.25HK$0.426
Oct ’24HK$0.62
HK$2.89
+366.5%
99.0%HK$9.27HK$1.25HK$0.506
Sep ’24HK$0.83
HK$2.86
+245.1%
100.4%HK$9.27HK$1.19HK$0.416
Aug ’24HK$0.98
HK$2.50
+154.8%
104.5%HK$9.36HK$0.99HK$0.438
Jul ’24HK$0.88
HK$2.50
+183.8%
104.5%HK$9.36HK$0.99HK$0.418
Jun ’24HK$0.95
HK$2.56
+169.1%
104.2%HK$9.56HK$1.10HK$0.488
May ’24HK$1.29
HK$3.08
+138.4%
86.2%HK$9.71HK$1.13HK$0.688
Apr ’24HK$1.32
HK$3.08
+133.2%
86.2%HK$9.71HK$1.14HK$0.758
Mar ’24HK$1.26
HK$3.09
+145.5%
86.2%HK$9.77HK$1.14HK$0.588
Feb ’24n/a
HK$3.06
0%
88.7%HK$9.86HK$1.15HK$0.398
Jan ’24n/a
HK$2.90
0%
87.0%HK$9.67HK$1.13HK$0.559
Dec ’23HK$1.11
HK$3.24
+191.7%
76.3%HK$9.63HK$1.30HK$0.599
Nov ’23HK$0.90
HK$2.91
+223.7%
74.7%HK$9.45HK$1.24HK$0.5912

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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