Stock Analysis

Would Hony Media Group (HKG:419) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

SEHK:419
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hony Media Group (HKG:419) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Hony Media Group Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Hony Media Group had HK$190.9m of debt, an increase on HK$72.2m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$34.5m, its net debt is less, at about HK$156.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:419 Debt to Equity History May 27th 2025

A Look At Hony Media Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hony Media Group had liabilities of HK$175.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$187.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$34.5m in cash and HK$38.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$290.7m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Hony Media Group is worth HK$570.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hony Media Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Check out our latest analysis for Hony Media Group

Over 12 months, Hony Media Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$1.0b, which is a fall of 24%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Hony Media Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$83m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$75m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Hony Media Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hony Media Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.