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EC Healthcare (HKG:2138) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at EC Healthcare (HKG:2138) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for EC Healthcare, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.05 = HK$196m ÷ (HK$5.2b - HK$1.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Therefore, EC Healthcare has an ROCE of 5.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Services industry average of 8.7%.
View our latest analysis for EC Healthcare
In the above chart we have measured EC Healthcare's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at EC Healthcare, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 36% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, EC Healthcare has decreased its current liabilities to 25% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
Our Take On EC Healthcare's ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that EC Healthcare is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 234% to shareholders in the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
Like most companies, EC Healthcare does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While EC Healthcare isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if EC Healthcare might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2138
EC Healthcare
An investment holding company, engages in the provision of medical and healthcare services in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People’s Republic of China.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.