Stock Analysis

K2 F&B Holdings (HKG:2108) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

SEHK:2108
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that K2 F&B Holdings Limited (HKG:2108) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for K2 F&B Holdings

What Is K2 F&B Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, K2 F&B Holdings had S$96.8m of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had S$7.69m in cash, and so its net debt is S$89.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2108 Debt to Equity History August 31st 2023

A Look At K2 F&B Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that K2 F&B Holdings had liabilities of S$22.4m due within a year, and liabilities of S$91.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had S$7.69m in cash and S$645.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total S$105.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the S$24.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, K2 F&B Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 17.0 hit our confidence in K2 F&B Holdings like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, K2 F&B Holdings saw its EBIT tank 27% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since K2 F&B Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, K2 F&B Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both K2 F&B Holdings's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that K2 F&B Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example K2 F&B Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.