Benign Growth For China New Higher Education Group Limited (HKG:2001) Underpins Stock's 49% Plummet

The China New Higher Education Group Limited (HKG:2001) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 49%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 56% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider China New Higher Education Group as an attractive investment with its 0.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for China New Higher Education Group

How China New Higher Education Group Has Been Performing

China New Higher Education Group could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China New Higher Education Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For China New Higher Education Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as China New Higher Education Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 61% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.6% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why China New Higher Education Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From China New Higher Education Group's P/S?

China New Higher Education Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Services companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that China New Higher Education Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with China New Higher Education Group.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.