Melco International Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Melco International Development is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 99.6% and 12.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 105.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 29.3% in 3 years.

Key information

99.6%

Earnings growth rate

105.8%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	32.4%
Revenue growth rate	12.2%
Future return on equity	29.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Not Many Are Piling Into Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Just Yet

Dec 20

Melco International Development (HKG:200) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Nov 07

Melco International Development (HKG:200) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Apr 10

Should You Investigate Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) At HK$8.69?

Mar 16

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Revenue Forecasts

Jan 11

Melco International Development (HKG:200) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Dec 13

Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Revenue Estimates By 21%

Apr 07

Is Melco International Development (HKG:200) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Oct 13

Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Performing In The Near Term

Jul 21

Should You Investigate Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) At HK$14.46?

Jun 21

An Intrinsic Calculation For Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Suggests It's 31% Undervalued

May 16

Does Melco International Development (HKG:200) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Apr 28

If You Had Bought Melco International Development (HKG:200) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 72% Gain Today

Mar 03

Who Has Been Buying Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Shares?

Feb 10

Is There An Opportunity With Melco International Development Limited's (HKG:200) 37% Undervaluation?

Jan 20

Could The Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Ownership Structure Tell Us Something Useful?

Dec 22

How Does Melco International Development's (HKG:200) CEO Pay Compare With Company Performance?

Dec 01

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:200 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	41,792	286	2,407	4,734	2
12/31/2025	39,676	786	1,621	8,316	6
12/31/2024	36,232	-874	1,073	3,400	2
12/31/2023	29,532	-1,744	6,640	8,508	N/A
9/30/2023	23,555	-2,608	2,632	4,890	N/A
6/30/2023	17,579	-3,472	-1,375	1,272	N/A
3/31/2023	14,072	-4,292	-3,843	-394	N/A
12/31/2022	10,566	-5,113	-6,311	-2,060	N/A
9/30/2022	11,902	-4,825	-5,656	-850	N/A
6/30/2022	13,239	-4,536	-5,001	359	N/A
3/31/2022	14,439	-4,172	-4,762	450	N/A
12/31/2021	15,639	-3,809	-4,522	542	N/A
9/30/2021	14,903	-4,066	-5,058	-316	N/A
6/30/2021	14,167	-4,322	-5,594	-1,173	N/A
3/31/2021	13,796	-5,331	-7,213	-3,230	N/A
12/31/2020	13,424	-6,340	-8,833	-5,287	N/A
9/30/2020	21,871	-4,889	-5,406	-2,168	N/A
6/30/2020	30,318	-3,438	-1,980	952	N/A
3/31/2020	37,653	-1,374	1,585	4,815	N/A
12/31/2019	44,988	690	5,150	8,677	N/A
9/30/2019	44,142	665	5,111	9,987	N/A
6/30/2019	43,295	640	5,072	11,296	N/A
3/31/2019	42,017	581	4,871	10,759	N/A
12/31/2018	40,739	523	4,671	10,222	N/A
9/30/2018	40,810	588	4,889	9,347	N/A
6/30/2018	40,881	654	5,108	8,471	N/A
3/31/2018	41,038	564	5,880	9,492	N/A
12/31/2017	41,195	474	6,652	10,513	N/A
9/30/2017	39,809	319	N/A	10,988	N/A
6/30/2017	38,423	163	N/A	11,462	N/A
3/31/2017	31,143	5,265	N/A	9,827	N/A
12/31/2016	23,862	10,366	N/A	8,193	N/A
9/30/2016	14,815	10,362	N/A	4,930	N/A
6/30/2016	5,767	10,357	N/A	1,668	N/A
3/31/2016	3,102	5,229	N/A	829	N/A
12/31/2015	437	101	N/A	-10	N/A
9/30/2015	412	396	N/A	-17	N/A
6/30/2015	387	691	N/A	-23	N/A
3/31/2015	326	1,089	N/A	-39	N/A
12/31/2014	266	1,487	N/A	-55	N/A
9/30/2014	238	1,707	N/A	-65	N/A
6/30/2014	210	1,927	N/A	-75	N/A
3/31/2014	209	1,762	N/A	-92	N/A
12/31/2013	208	1,597	N/A	-109	N/A
9/30/2013	209	1,444	N/A	-95	N/A
6/30/2013	209	1,290	N/A	-81	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 200 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: 200 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 200 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 200's revenue (12.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 200's revenue (12.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 200's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (29.3%)

Melco International Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Price target decreased by 11% to HK$7.00

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 64%

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to HK$0.74 loss

Price target decreased by 16% to HK$7.92

Price target decreased by 10.0% to HK$9.42

Recent updates

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Executive Chairman & CEO recently bought HK$5.5m worth of stock

Melco International Development Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 13, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Melco International Development Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Final Results on Mar 28, 2024

Price target decreased by 11% to HK$7.00

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 64%

Not Many Are Piling Into Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Just Yet

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to HK$0.74 loss

Price target decreased by 16% to HK$7.92

Price target decreased by 10.0% to HK$9.42

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to HK$0.77 loss, revenue downgraded

Price target decreased by 7.4% to HK$10.30

Melco International Development (HKG:200) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Independent Non-executive Director recently sold HK$2.2m worth of stock

Price target decreased by 7.2% to HK$11.12

Melco International Development Limited Announces Executive Changes

First half 2023 earnings released: HK$0.49 loss per share (vs HK$1.58 loss in 1H 2022)

Melco International Development Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 31, 2023

Melco International Development Limited Appoints John William Crawford as an Additional Member to the Remuneration Committee

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to HK$1.09 loss

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%, revenue upgraded

Melco International Development (HKG:200) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Should You Investigate Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) At HK$8.69?

Price target increased to HK$10.33

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Revenue Forecasts

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 12%

Price target increased to HK$9.10

Melco International Development Limited Announces Establishment of Nomination and Corporate Governance Committee

Melco International Development (HKG:200) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Less than half of directors are independent

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

First half 2022 earnings released: HK$1.58 loss per share (vs HK$1.09 loss in 1H 2021)

Melco International Development Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 31, 2022

President recently sold HK$538k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 126%

Less than half of directors are independent

Price target decreased to HK$10.05

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 53%

Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Revenue Estimates By 21%

Consensus forecasts updated

Melco International Development Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 07, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Melco International Development Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Mar 31, 2022

Executive Director exercised options and sold HK$368k worth of stock

Price target decreased to HK$11.52

Price target increased to HK$13.24

Price target decreased to HK$12.29

Is Melco International Development (HKG:200) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Price target decreased to HK$14.49

First half 2021 earnings released: HK$1.09 loss per share (vs HK$2.43 loss in 1H 2020)

Executive Chairman & CEO recently bought HK$8.1m worth of stock

Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Performing In The Near Term

Consensus EPS estimates fall to -HK$2.11

Consensus EPS estimates fall to -HK$1.73

Should You Investigate Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) At HK$14.46?

Executive Chairman & CEO recently bought HK$12m worth of stock

An Intrinsic Calculation For Melco International Development Limited (HKG:200) Suggests It's 31% Undervalued

Full year 2020 earnings released: HK$4.19 loss per share (vs HK$0.46 profit in FY 2019)

Does Melco International Development (HKG:200) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Consensus forecasts updated

Full year 2020 earnings released: HK$4.19 loss per share (vs HK$0.46 profit in FY 2019)

Melco International Development Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 31, 2021

If You Had Bought Melco International Development (HKG:200) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 72% Gain Today

New 90-day high: HK$16.44