Stock Analysis

Sands China (HKG:1928) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

SEHK:1928
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Sands China Ltd. (HKG:1928) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Sands China

How Much Debt Does Sands China Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Sands China had debt of US$6.92b, up from US$5.46b in one year. On the flip side, it has US$861.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$6.06b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1928 Debt to Equity History March 9th 2021

How Healthy Is Sands China's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sands China had liabilities of US$1.41b due within a year, and liabilities of US$7.21b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$861.0m in cash and US$190.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$7.57b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Sands China shares are worth a very impressive total of US$38.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sands China can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Sands China made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$1.7b, which is a fall of 81%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Sands China's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost US$1.2b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$1.9b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Sands China .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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