Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited

SEHK:1869 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$186.2m

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Valuation

Is 1869 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1869 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1869 (HK$0.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$0.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1869 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1869?

Key metric: As 1869 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1869. This is calculated by dividing 1869's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1869's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesHK$159.58m
Market CapHK$186.15m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1869's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1869 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
8213 StarGlory Holdings
2.3xn/aHK$223.9m
1181 Tang Palace (China) Holdings
0.2xn/aHK$257.2m
8527 JLogo Holdings
2.2xn/aHK$195.0m
8519 XinXiang Era Group
0.6xn/aHK$153.7m
1869 Kafelaku Coffee Holding
1.2xn/aHK$186.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1869 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1869's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Hospitality Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
520 Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings
0.2x9.7%US$118.22m
6811 Tai Hing Group Holdings
0.2x4.9%US$82.66m
573 Tao Heung Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$56.68m
6882 EGL Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$39.37m
1869 1.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies19PS00.81.62.43.24+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1869 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the Hong Kong Hospitality industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1869's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1869 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1869's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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