Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd.

SEHK:520 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$1.0b

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Valuation

Is 520 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 520 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
HK$10.05
Fair Value
90.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 520 (HK$0.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$10.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 520 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 520?

Key metric: As 520 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 520. This is calculated by dividing 520's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 520's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesCN¥5.48b
Market CapCN¥958.70m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 520's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 520 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
538 Ajisen (China) Holdings
0.5xn/aHK$906.0m
6811 Tai Hing Group Holdings
0.3x4.9%HK$816.0m
2217 Tam Jai International
0.4x4.2%HK$1.2b
52 Fairwood Holdings
0.2xn/aHK$756.6m
520 Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings
0.2x8.7%HK$1.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 520 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 520's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Hospitality Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x11.4%
520 Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings
 0.2x8.7%US$132.16m
200 Melco International Development
0.2x6.5%US$789.28m
573 Tao Heung Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$54.74m
520 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies19PS00.81.62.43.24+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x19.5%
520 Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings
 0.2x85.1%US$132.16m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 520 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Hong Kong Hospitality industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 520's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

520 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 520 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 520 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$0.95
HK$1.52
+60.1%
68.9%HK$4.14HK$0.70n/a8
Feb ’26HK$0.88
HK$1.52
+72.8%
68.9%HK$4.14HK$0.70n/a8
Jan ’26HK$1.00
HK$1.60
+59.9%
58.8%HK$4.11HK$0.96n/a9
Dec ’25HK$0.85
HK$1.67
+96.7%
61.0%HK$4.21HK$0.95n/a8
Nov ’25HK$1.07
HK$1.67
+56.2%
61.0%HK$4.21HK$0.95n/a8
Oct ’25HK$1.55
HK$1.68
+8.6%
61.0%HK$4.24HK$0.96n/a8
Sep ’25HK$1.01
HK$1.91
+89.0%
49.0%HK$4.25HK$0.96n/a9
Aug ’25HK$1.26
HK$1.98
+57.4%
39.5%HK$4.16HK$1.30n/a10
Jul ’25HK$1.37
HK$1.84
+34.2%
19.0%HK$2.39HK$1.30n/a9
Jun ’25HK$1.80
HK$2.16
+19.8%
40.9%HK$4.71HK$1.30n/a11
May ’25HK$1.82
HK$2.18
+19.7%
40.9%HK$4.73HK$1.31n/a11
Apr ’25HK$1.59
HK$3.62
+127.6%
32.6%HK$4.95HK$1.50n/a15
Mar ’25HK$1.96
HK$3.99
+103.6%
23.7%HK$4.98HK$2.39n/a15
Feb ’25HK$1.91
HK$3.99
+108.9%
23.7%HK$4.98HK$2.39HK$0.8815
Jan ’25HK$2.46
HK$4.47
+81.5%
18.9%HK$6.81HK$2.60HK$1.0016
Dec ’24HK$2.79
HK$4.69
+68.1%
17.3%HK$6.79HK$3.45HK$0.8516
Nov ’24HK$2.87
HK$4.64
+61.8%
16.6%HK$6.66HK$3.87HK$1.0716
Oct ’24HK$3.30
HK$4.65
+41.1%
16.6%HK$6.68HK$3.88HK$1.5516
Sep ’24HK$3.79
HK$5.15
+35.9%
25.7%HK$8.43HK$3.91HK$1.0115
Aug ’24HK$4.80
HK$6.85
+42.7%
25.2%HK$9.57HK$4.14HK$1.2614
Jul ’24HK$3.68
HK$7.64
+107.7%
23.2%HK$10.60HK$4.10HK$1.3713
Jun ’24HK$4.32
HK$8.27
+91.5%
15.6%HK$10.86HK$6.37HK$1.8013
May ’24HK$5.95
HK$8.29
+39.3%
17.2%HK$11.12HK$6.05HK$1.8214
Apr ’24HK$7.16
HK$8.23
+14.9%
23.4%HK$11.22HK$3.75HK$1.5914
Mar ’24HK$9.00
HK$8.83
-1.9%
24.6%HK$11.62HK$3.75HK$1.9613
Feb ’24HK$8.20
HK$7.40
-9.7%
35.2%HK$11.64HK$3.21HK$1.9112
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
HK$1.52
Fair Value
37.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/15 18:28
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/14 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd. is covered by 28 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lucy YuBofA Global Research
Livy LyuChina Galaxy International Securities (Hong Kong)
Sijie LinChina International Capital Corporation Limited