Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Minsheng Education Group Company Limited (HKG:1569) Underpins Stock's 26% Plummet

SEHK:1569
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Minsheng Education Group Company Limited (HKG:1569) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider Minsheng Education Group as an attractive investment with its 6.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Minsheng Education Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Minsheng Education Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1569 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Minsheng Education Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Minsheng Education Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 72% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Minsheng Education Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Bottom Line On Minsheng Education Group's P/E

Minsheng Education Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Minsheng Education Group revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Minsheng Education Group that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Minsheng Education Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Minsheng Education Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.