JD Health International Inc.

SZSC:6618 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$79.1b

JD Health International Valuation

Is 6618 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6618 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6618 (HK$24.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$36.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6618 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6618?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6618 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA39.6x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6618's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6618 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.4x
241 Alibaba Health Information Technology
60x23.1%HK$61.1b
2517 Guoquan Food (Shanghai)
47.9xn/aHK$13.1b
1797 East Buy Holding
20.6x19.3%HK$14.3b
RADL3 Raia Drogasil
40.9x25.4%R$43.0b
6618 JD Health International
33.8x17.6%HK$79.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the peer average (42.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6618's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6618 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6618's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6618 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.8x
Fair PE Ratio26x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6618 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6618 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$24.80
HK$43.02
+73.5%
25.6%HK$79.51HK$24.70n/a17
Jun ’25HK$26.15
HK$43.02
+64.5%
25.7%HK$79.53HK$24.51n/a17
May ’25HK$27.15
HK$43.32
+59.6%
25.4%HK$79.83HK$24.61n/a17
Apr ’25HK$27.70
HK$43.68
+57.7%
24.7%HK$79.83HK$24.61n/a18
Mar ’25HK$29.50
HK$52.80
+79.0%
20.8%HK$79.59HK$35.10n/a17
Feb ’25HK$26.60
HK$55.08
+107.1%
20.3%HK$80.11HK$35.33n/a17
Jan ’25HK$39.10
HK$57.66
+47.5%
19.6%HK$80.41HK$35.46n/a16
Dec ’24HK$36.25
HK$59.98
+65.5%
20.9%HK$80.77HK$35.93n/a18
Nov ’24HK$35.50
HK$61.53
+73.3%
19.8%HK$79.31HK$35.24n/a17
Oct ’24HK$40.60
HK$65.07
+60.3%
17.2%HK$79.74HK$35.24n/a16
Sep ’24HK$42.30
HK$65.75
+55.4%
16.8%HK$80.23HK$35.35n/a18
Aug ’24HK$56.80
HK$75.61
+33.1%
12.0%HK$99.98HK$60.52n/a20
Jul ’24HK$49.45
HK$76.56
+54.8%
12.9%HK$96.04HK$60.09n/a19
Jun ’24HK$48.70
HK$80.45
+65.2%
13.2%HK$100.03HK$62.22HK$26.1518
May ’24HK$56.25
HK$81.39
+44.7%
12.5%HK$99.02HK$61.59HK$27.1518
Apr ’24HK$58.40
HK$81.48
+39.5%
12.4%HK$99.24HK$61.73HK$27.7018
Mar ’24HK$59.45
HK$80.87
+36.0%
13.1%HK$98.94HK$56.90HK$29.5016
Feb ’24HK$66.45
HK$81.94
+23.3%
13.5%HK$100.15HK$57.60HK$26.6015
Jan ’24HK$71.35
HK$79.47
+11.4%
13.6%HK$102.14HK$57.93HK$39.1015
Dec ’23HK$65.40
HK$77.52
+18.5%
13.6%HK$99.73HK$56.56HK$36.2515
Nov ’23HK$46.60
HK$74.25
+59.3%
14.3%HK$95.67HK$56.93HK$35.5016
Oct ’23HK$45.10
HK$79.27
+75.8%
28.4%HK$164.91HK$55.63HK$40.6019
Sep ’23HK$53.15
HK$81.72
+53.7%
28.7%HK$169.96HK$56.93HK$42.3019
Aug ’23HK$60.25
HK$84.59
+40.4%
30.4%HK$174.01HK$58.59HK$56.8018
Jul ’23HK$61.55
HK$85.56
+39.0%
30.4%HK$175.18HK$58.98HK$49.4517
Jun ’23HK$49.25
HK$84.95
+72.5%
31.1%HK$175.56HK$58.32HK$48.7017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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