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- SEHK:814
Beijing Jingkelong (HKG:814) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. On that note, looking into Beijing Jingkelong (HKG:814), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Beijing Jingkelong is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.051 = CN¥136m ÷ (CN¥7.5b - CN¥4.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, Beijing Jingkelong has an ROCE of 5.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Retailing industry average of 9.4%.
See our latest analysis for Beijing Jingkelong
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Beijing Jingkelong, check out these free graphs here.
SWOT Analysis for Beijing Jingkelong
- Debt is well covered by cash flow.
- Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
- Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine 814's earnings prospects.
- No apparent threats visible for 814.
The Trend Of ROCE
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Beijing Jingkelong. To be more specific, the ROCE was 14% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Beijing Jingkelong to turn into a multi-bagger.
On a side note, Beijing Jingkelong's current liabilities are still rather high at 65% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
Our Take On Beijing Jingkelong's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 51% from where it was five years ago. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Beijing Jingkelong we've found 3 warning signs (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Beijing Jingkelong isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Beijing Jingkelong might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:814
Beijing Jingkelong
Engages in the retail and wholesale distribution of daily consumer products.
Low and slightly overvalued.