Laopu Gold Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 6181 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

6181 (HK$203.8) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$220.34)

Is 6181 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6181 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6181 (HK$203.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$220.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6181 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6181?

Key metric: As 6181 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6181. This is calculated by dividing 6181's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6181's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	39.6x
Earnings	CN¥807.36m
Market Cap	CN¥31.94b

6181 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	27.9x
PEG Ratio	1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6181's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6181 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	12.8x
2331 Li Ning	12.5x	10.0%	HK$40.4b
1910 Samsonite International	8.5x	3.8%	HK$26.3b
3998 Bosideng International Holdings	14.5x	12.6%	HK$47.9b
2313 Shenzhou International Group Holdings	15.9x	12.8%	HK$91.7b
6181 Laopu Gold	39.6x	34.0%	HK$34.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6181 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.6x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6181's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Luxury Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
8211 Zhejiang Yongan Rongtong Holdings	1x	n/a	US$5.46m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6181 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Luxury industry average (8.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6181's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6181 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	39.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 6181's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6181 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	HK$203.80	HK$214.96 +5.5%	19.9%	HK$263.50	HK$117.00	n/a	8
Nov ’25	HK$208.80	HK$189.18 -9.4%	25.8%	HK$267.87	HK$118.94	n/a	7
Oct ’25	HK$147.00	HK$141.27 -3.9%	12.9%	HK$164.92	HK$120.53	n/a	3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.