Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that i.century Holding Limited (HKG:8507) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for i.century Holding
How Much Debt Does i.century Holding Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, i.century Holding had HK$17.8m of debt, up from HK$6.74m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have HK$11.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$6.75m.
How Healthy Is i.century Holding's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that i.century Holding had liabilities of HK$32.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$408.0k due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$11.1m and HK$18.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$3.26m.
Given i.century Holding has a market capitalization of HK$72.4m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since i.century Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year i.century Holding had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 33%, to HK$79m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did i.century Holding's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$19m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled HK$12m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for i.century Holding you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SEHK:8507
i.century Holding
An investment holding company, provides apparel products and apparel supply chain management services in the United States, France, other European countries, Australia, Canada, Japan, and Internationally.
Low and slightly overvalued.