Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Kidztech Holdings Limited's (HKG:6918) Price

When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 11x, you may consider Kidztech Holdings Limited (HKG:6918) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 17.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For example, consider that Kidztech Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Kidztech Holdings

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SEHK:6918 Price Based on Past Earnings January 11th 2021
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kidztech Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
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How Is Kidztech Holdings' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kidztech Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 42% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Kidztech Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Kidztech Holdings' P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Kidztech Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Kidztech Holdings (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kidztech Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:6918

Kidztech Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of smart toy vehicles, interactive toys, and traditional toys in Mainland China and Hong Kong.

Excellent balance sheet with moderate risk.

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