Stock Analysis

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy YGM Trading Limited (HKG:375) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Published
SEHK:375

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that YGM Trading Limited (HKG:375) is about to go ex-dividend in just four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Thus, you can purchase YGM Trading's shares before the 27th of September in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 16th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.10 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed HK$0.10 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, YGM Trading stock has a trailing yield of around 8.6% on the current share price of HK$1.16. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for YGM Trading

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. YGM Trading's dividend is not well covered by earnings, as the company lost money last year. This is not a sustainable state of affairs, so it would be worth investigating if earnings are expected to recover. Given that the company reported a loss last year, we now need to see if it generated enough free cash flow to fund the dividend. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. What's good is that dividends were well covered by free cash flow, with the company paying out 24% of its cash flow last year.

Click here to see how much of its profit YGM Trading paid out over the last 12 months.

SEHK:375 Historic Dividend September 22nd 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. YGM Trading reported a loss last year, and the general trend suggests its earnings have also been declining in recent years, making us wonder if the dividend is at risk.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. YGM Trading's dividend payments per share have declined at 21% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of YGM Trading's financial health, by checking our visualisation of its financial health, here.

To Sum It Up

Has YGM Trading got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? First, it's not great to see the company paying a dividend despite being loss-making over the last year. On the plus side, the dividend was covered by free cash flow." With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of YGM Trading.

With that being said, if you're still considering YGM Trading as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for YGM Trading (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.