China Healthwise Holdings Limited's (HKG:348) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
China Healthwise Holdings Limited (HKG:348) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think China Healthwise Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Leisure industry is similar at about 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for China Healthwise Holdings
How Has China Healthwise Holdings Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for China Healthwise Holdings, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Healthwise Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like China Healthwise Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.0% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 6.1% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 8.5% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that China Healthwise Holdings' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On China Healthwise Holdings' P/S
Following China Healthwise Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that China Healthwise Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - China Healthwise Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:348
China Healthwise Holdings
An investment holding company, sells Chinese health products in Hong Kong and The People’s Republic of China.
Slight and fair value.