Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Pak Tak International Limited (HKG:2668) With Shares Advancing 27%

SEHK:2668
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Despite an already strong run, Pak Tak International Limited (HKG:2668) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 678% gain over the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Pak Tak International as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Pak Tak International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2668 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024

How Pak Tak International Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Pak Tak International over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Pak Tak International, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Pak Tak International's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Pak Tak International would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 86% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Pak Tak International's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Pak Tak International's P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Pak Tak International's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Pak Tak International revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Pak Tak International (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pak Tak International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.