Li Ning Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Li Ning is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.9% and 6.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.8% in 3 years.
Key information
8.9%
Earnings growth rate
8.82%
EPS growth rate
| Luxury earnings growth | 9.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.1% |
| Future return on equity | 11.77% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 16
2331: Curry Partnership And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Margin Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Li Ning slightly to around HK$25.84 from about HK$26.07, reflecting modest tweaks to assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent research updates. What’s in the News for Li Ning Stephen Curry and Li Ning announced a long term partnership to co develop product lines under the Curry Brand, with plans to open Curry Brand stores in both China and the United States.Narrative Update • Jun 02
2331: Curry Brand Partnership Will Support Future Margin Execution Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Li Ning to about HK$26.07 from roughly HK$25.95, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E that align with recent Street research commentary. What's in the News Stephen Curry and Li Ning entered a long term partnership to co develop product lines under the Curry Brand, with plans to open Curry Brand stores in China and the United States, according to recent news reports.
Narrative Update • May 08
2331: Upcoming Results And Dividend Decision Will Underpin Upgraded Broker Confidence
Analysts have raised their price target on Li Ning to HK$35.54 from HK$34.98, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on Li Ning, with bullish analysts adjusting their models to reflect updated assumptions on growth, margins and valuation multiples.Analysis Article • Apr 24
Li Ning Company Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
Li Ning Company Limited ( HKG:2331 ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...Narrative Update • Apr 23
2331: Future Margin Execution And Recent Upgrade Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Li Ning to HK$25.95 from about HK$25.79, reflecting their recent upgrade and updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models around the HK$25.95 fair value are focusing on how Li Ning can balance growth ambitions with disciplined execution and valuation support.Narrative Update • Apr 07
2331: Future Margin Execution And Puma Bid Potential Will Support Upside
Narrative Update: Li Ning Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Li Ning from about HK$21.89 to around HK$25.79, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E, which result in a higher long term price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research, including a fresh upgrade from Goldman Sachs, focuses on how Li Ning can justify a higher fair value through execution on growth plans, profitability, and capital allocation.
Narrative Update • Mar 24
2331: Elevated P/E Assumptions Will Likely Expose Limited Upside Risk
Analysts have lifted their HK$ fair value estimate for Li Ning from about HK$12.06 to around HK$17.02, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed backdrop for Li Ning, with some optimism around fair value and execution, but also a clear set of risks that readers should keep on their radar.Narrative Update • Mar 09
2331: Upcoming Results And Dividend Decision Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for Li Ning, with fair value moving slightly from HK$34.50 to HK$34.98 as they factor in modest adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, to approve the announcement of interim results for the year ended Dec 31, 2025, for Li Ning and its subsidiaries for publication (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 23
2331: Potential Puma Bid Interest Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Li Ning to HK$34.50 from HK$34.28, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which together support a modestly higher price target. What's in the News Media reports indicate that ANTA Sports Products is exploring a potential takeover bid for Puma, and Li Ning is cited as another Chinese sportswear group that has been taking an early look at the German brand and discussing financing options with banks.Narrative Update • Feb 09
2331: Potential Puma Deal Will Drive Future Upside And Brand Expansion Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Li Ning slightly higher, to an implied fair value of about $34.28 from roughly $34.13, citing small tweaks to assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E. What's in the News Media reports link Li Ning as a potential bidder for German sportswear brand Puma SE, alongside ANTA Sports and ASICS, with interest centered on a possible takeover process involving multiple parties (Bloomberg / Reuters) Reports indicate Li Ning has been discussing financing options with banks as it takes an early look at a possible Puma transaction.Narrative Update • Jan 26
2331: Potential Puma Bid Will Support Future Upside And Brand Expansion Potential
Analysts have slightly increased their fair value estimate for Li Ning to HK$34.13 from HK$34.06, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Media reports suggest Li Ning is among potential bidders exploring a possible takeover of German sportswear brand Puma SE, alongside ANTA Sports Products and ASICS Corporation (Bloomberg/Reuters report).Narrative Update • Jan 11
2331: Potential Puma Bid Will Support Future Upside With Improved Profit Outlook
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Li Ning from HK$33.47 to about HK$34.06, citing updated assumptions that combine a lower discount rate and slightly higher projected profit margins with more moderate revenue growth and a higher anticipated future P/E multiple. What's in the News Media reports indicate Chinese sportswear group Li Ning is among potential bidders evaluating a possible takeover of German sportswear brand Puma, alongside ANTA Sports and ASICS (Bloomberg, Reuters).Analysis Article • Jan 03
Here's What's Concerning About Li Ning's (HKG:2331) Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Narrative Update • Dec 26
2331: Future Puma Bid Potential Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Li Ning slightly from roughly $21.40 to about $21.89, citing modest improvements in long term valuation multiples despite slightly softer expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Li Ning has been cited among potential bidders evaluating a possible takeover of German sportswear brand Puma SE, alongside Chinese peer ANTA Sports and Japan's ASICS, according to media reports on early stage discussions (Bloomberg / Reuters).Narrative Update • Dec 12
2331: Potential Puma Bid Will Drive Future Upside Despite Slightly Higher Risk
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Li Ning slightly to reflect a modest adjustment in fair value and discount rate assumptions, even as they factor in marginally stronger long term revenue growth and stable profit margins. What's in the News Li Ning has been identified among potential bidders that are exploring an early-stage review of acquiring German sportswear brand Puma, alongside ANTA Sports and ASICS.Analysis Article • Dec 03
Is Li Ning Company Limited (HKG:2331) Potentially Undervalued?
Li Ning Company Limited ( HKG:2331 ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement...Analysis Article • Nov 18
Li Ning Company Limited (HKG:2331) Shares Could Be 21% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Li Ning's estimated fair value is HK$21.97 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Li Ning's HK$17.26...Analysis Article • Oct 12
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Li Ning Company Limited's (HKG:2331) P/E
There wouldn't be many who think Li Ning Company Limited's ( HKG:2331 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.3x is...Analysis Article • Aug 27
Li Ning's (HKG:2331) Dividend Will Be CN¥0.368
The board of Li Ning Company Limited ( HKG:2331 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 16th of September...Narrative Update • Aug 24
Premium Product Focus And Digital Channels Will Build Future Success
The upward revision of Li Ning’s consensus price target reflects improved revenue growth forecasts and a higher prospective P/E multiple, with fair value rising from HK$18.54 to HK$19.79. What's in the News Interim dividend of RMB 0.3359 per share announced for six months ended June 30, 2025.Analysis Article • Aug 17
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Li Ning Company Limited (HKG:2331)?
SEHK:2331 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Li Ning's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Li Ning...Analysis Article • Aug 01
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Li Ning's (HKG:2331) Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Jun 30
Li Ning Company Limited's (HKG:2331) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 41% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Li Ning fair value estimate is HK$23.53 Li Ning's HK$16.68...New Narrative • Jun 22
Premium Product Focus And Digital Channels Will Build Future Success
Emphasis on premium products, innovation, and digital channels is strengthening Li Ning's brand, pricing power, and profitability while reducing reliance on physical stores.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 36,092 | 3,857 | 3,318 | 5,341 | 26 |
| 12/31/2027 | 33,786 | 3,453 | 2,937 | 4,818 | 31 |
| 12/31/2026 | 31,715 | 3,035 | 2,471 | 4,475 | 30 |
| 12/31/2025 | 29,598 | 2,936 | 3,565 | 4,852 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 29,373 | 2,867 | 3,542 | 4,900 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 29,147 | 2,798 | 3,520 | 4,949 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 28,911 | 2,906 | 3,642 | 5,108 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 28,676 | 3,013 | 3,765 | 5,268 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 28,300 | 3,015 | 3,629 | 5,372 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 27,925 | 3,018 | 3,493 | 5,476 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 27,762 | 3,102 | 3,083 | 5,082 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 27,598 | 3,187 | 2,673 | 4,688 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 27,506 | 3,591 | 2,424 | 4,480 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 27,414 | 3,996 | 2,175 | 4,273 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 26,609 | 4,030 | 1,985 | 4,093 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 25,803 | 4,064 | 1,795 | 3,914 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 25,294 | 4,151 | 2,251 | 4,349 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 24,784 | 4,238 | 2,707 | 4,784 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 23,678 | 4,124 | 3,715 | 5,655 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 22,572 | 4,011 | 4,722 | 6,525 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 20,522 | 3,494 | 4,746 | 6,067 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 18,473 | 2,977 | 4,770 | 5,609 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 16,465 | 2,338 | 3,394 | 4,186 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 14,457 | 1,698 | 2,018 | 2,763 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 14,126 | 1,543 | 1,931 | 2,690 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 13,796 | 1,387 | 1,845 | 2,616 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 13,833 | 1,443 | 2,331 | 3,060 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 13,870 | 1,499 | 2,818 | 3,503 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 12,961 | 1,370 | N/A | 2,941 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 12,053 | 1,242 | N/A | 2,378 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 11,282 | 978 | N/A | 2,025 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 10,511 | 715 | N/A | 1,672 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 10,051 | 655 | N/A | 1,451 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 9,591 | 595 | N/A | 1,231 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 9,232 | 555 | N/A | 1,195 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 8,874 | 515 | N/A | 1,159 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 8,645 | 446 | N/A | 1,199 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 8,416 | 376 | N/A | 1,238 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 8,216 | 316 | N/A | 1,117 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 8,015 | 256 | N/A | 995 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 7,757 | 172 | N/A | 931 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 7,499 | 89 | N/A | 866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 7,294 | 23 | N/A | 777 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 7,089 | -43 | N/A | 687 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 6,097 | -308 | N/A | 91 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2331's forecast earnings growth (8.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).
Earnings vs Market: 2331's earnings (8.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (12.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 2331's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 2331's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (8.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 2331's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 2331's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.8%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/22 22:46 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Li Ning Company Limited is covered by 57 analysts. 31 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Vineet Kulbandu Sharma | Barclays |
| Jiaying Huang | Barclays |
| Melinda Hu | Bernstein |