Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Man Wah Holdings Limited (HKG:1999) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Man Wah Holdings
What Is Man Wah Holdings's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Man Wah Holdings had HK$4.18b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has HK$4.18b in cash, leading to a HK$5.18m net cash position.
How Strong Is Man Wah Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Man Wah Holdings had liabilities of HK$6.79b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$326.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$4.18b and HK$2.17b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$765.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Man Wah Holdings shares are worth a total of HK$20.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Man Wah Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
But the other side of the story is that Man Wah Holdings saw its EBIT decline by 7.8% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Man Wah Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Man Wah Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Man Wah Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 47% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Man Wah Holdings has HK$5.18m in net cash. So we don't have any problem with Man Wah Holdings's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Man Wah Holdings you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1999
Man Wah Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, wholesale, trading, and distribution of sofas and ancillary products in the People's Republic of China, Europe, Vietnam, Mexico, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.