Stock Analysis

Nameson Holdings (HKG:1982) Is Increasing Its Dividend To HK$0.095

SEHK:1982
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Nameson Holdings Limited's (HKG:1982) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 20th of December to HK$0.095, with investors receiving 86% more than last year's HK$0.051. This takes the dividend yield to 9.2%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Nameson Holdings' stock price has increased by 38% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

Check out our latest analysis for Nameson Holdings

Nameson Holdings Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Nameson Holdings was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 7.1% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 129%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1982 Historic Dividend November 27th 2023

Nameson Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that Nameson Holdings has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was HK$0.076, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$0.057. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 4.0% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Nameson Holdings has seen earnings per share falling at 7.1% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.

Our Thoughts On Nameson Holdings' Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Nameson Holdings that you should be aware of before investing. Is Nameson Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nameson Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.