Stock Analysis

Here's Why Nameson Holdings (HKG:1982) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:1982
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Nameson Holdings Limited (HKG:1982) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Nameson Holdings

How Much Debt Does Nameson Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Nameson Holdings had HK$811.3m of debt at March 2024, down from HK$942.5m a year prior. However, it also had HK$717.4m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$93.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1982 Debt to Equity History July 23rd 2024

A Look At Nameson Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nameson Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.26b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$588.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$717.4m and HK$167.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$964.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of HK$1.48b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Nameson Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Nameson Holdings's net debt is only 0.15 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.0 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Fortunately, Nameson Holdings grew its EBIT by 3.4% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Nameson Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Nameson Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Nameson Holdings's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. On the other hand, its level of total liabilities makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Nameson Holdings is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Nameson Holdings you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nameson Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nameson Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com