AV Promotions Holdings Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 8419 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

8419 (HK$0.07) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$0.09)

Is 8419 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8419 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8419 (HK$0.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$0.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8419 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8419?

Key metric: As 8419 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 8419. This is calculated by dividing 8419's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 8419's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.2x
Sales	HK$125.67m
Market Cap	HK$26.00m

8419 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.7x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 8419's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 8419 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.2x
8027 KPM Holding	0.5x	n/a	HK$36.7m
8201 PPS International (Holdings)	0.06x	n/a	HK$30.8m
544 Daido Group	0.1x	n/a	HK$37.7m
1417 Riverine China Holdings	0.07x	n/a	HK$73.3m
8419 AV Promotions Holdings	0.2x	n/a	HK$26.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 8419 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 8419's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Commercial Services Industry?

8 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
976 Chiho Environmental Group	0.06x	n/a	US$127.86m
8472 Lapco Holdings	0.09x	n/a	US$11.10m
1417 Riverine China Holdings	0.07x	n/a	US$9.42m
55 Neway Group Holdings	0.08x	n/a	US$5.63m

8 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 8419 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Hong Kong Commercial Services industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8419's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8419 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.2x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8419's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.