Stock Analysis

HM International Holdings (HKG:8416) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SEHK:8416
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, HM International Holdings Limited (HKG:8416) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for HM International Holdings

How Much Debt Does HM International Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, HM International Holdings had HK$16.4m of debt, up from HK$9.01m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has HK$58.6m in cash, leading to a HK$42.2m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8416 Debt to Equity History June 20th 2023

A Look At HM International Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that HM International Holdings had liabilities of HK$37.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$6.19m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$58.6m and HK$40.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$55.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that HM International Holdings' balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that HM International Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

Shareholders should be aware that HM International Holdings's EBIT was down 46% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since HM International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While HM International Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last two years, HM International Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, the bottom line is that HM International Holdings has net cash of HK$42.2m and plenty of liquid assets. The cherry on top was that in converted 422% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in HK$16m. So is HM International Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 6 warning signs for HM International Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HM International Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.