There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating TIL Enviro (HKG:1790), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for TIL Enviro:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.091 = HK$196m ÷ (HK$2.6b - HK$430m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Therefore, TIL Enviro has an ROCE of 9.1%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 8.0% average generated by the Commercial Services industry.
Check out our latest analysis for TIL Enviro
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for TIL Enviro's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of TIL Enviro, check out these free graphs here.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of TIL Enviro's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 13%, but since then they've fallen to 9.1%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a side note, TIL Enviro has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 17% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
What We Can Learn From TIL Enviro's ROCE
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by TIL Enviro's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 18% in the last three years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 2 warning signs for TIL Enviro (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1790
TIL Enviro
Provides wastewater treatment and construction services in the People’s Republic of China.
Adequate balance sheet slight.