Stock Analysis

Here's Why TIL Enviro (HKG:1790) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

SEHK:1790
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that TIL Enviro Limited (HKG:1790) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for TIL Enviro

How Much Debt Does TIL Enviro Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that TIL Enviro had debt of HK$799.7m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from HK$881.2m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$81.9m, its net debt is less, at about HK$717.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1790 Debt to Equity History May 8th 2023

How Healthy Is TIL Enviro's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, TIL Enviro had liabilities of HK$350.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$638.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$81.9m and HK$1.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$177.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that TIL Enviro has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.4, it's fair to say TIL Enviro does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.5 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Even worse, TIL Enviro saw its EBIT tank 34% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is TIL Enviro's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, TIL Enviro created free cash flow amounting to 14% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

While TIL Enviro's net debt to EBITDA makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. But on the brighter side of life, its level of total liabilities leaves us feeling more frolicsome. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that TIL Enviro is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example TIL Enviro has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.