Stock Analysis

Companies Like Goldstream Investment (HKG:1328) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

SEHK:1328
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Goldstream Investment (HKG:1328) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Goldstream Investment

Does Goldstream Investment Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In June 2022, Goldstream Investment had HK$349m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through HK$113m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.1 years as of June 2022. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1328 Debt to Equity History December 12th 2022

How Is Goldstream Investment's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Goldstream Investment doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just HK$56m in the last twelve months. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Remarkably, it actually increased its cash burn by 1,608% in the last year. With that kind of spending growth its cash runway will shorten quickly, as it simultaneously uses its cash while increasing the burn rate. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Goldstream Investment has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can Goldstream Investment Raise Cash?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Goldstream Investment shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Goldstream Investment has a market capitalisation of HK$575m and burnt through HK$113m last year, which is 20% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

So, Should We Worry About Goldstream Investment's Cash Burn?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Goldstream Investment's cash runway was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Goldstream Investment's situation. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Goldstream Investment (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.