Xinte Energy Co., Ltd.

SZSC:1799 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$11.6b

Xinte Energy Valuation

Is 1799 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1799 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1799 (HK$8.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$8.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1799 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1799?

Key metric: As 1799 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1799. This is calculated by dividing 1799's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1799's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesCN¥24.91b
Market CapCN¥10.77b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1799's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1799 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
586 China Conch Venture Holdings
1.6x-0.03%HK$11.5b
9979 Greentown Management Holdings
1.6x8.9%HK$5.9b
1783 Envision Greenwise Holdings
15.8xn/aHK$7.5b
2386 SINOPEC Engineering (Group)
0.4x7.0%HK$24.7b
1799 Xinte Energy
0.4x6.5%HK$11.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1799 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1799's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Construction Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3996 China Energy Engineering
0.09xn/aUS$11.57b
1618 Metallurgical Corporation of China
0.05x6.9%US$8.78b
2355 Baoye Group
0.09xn/aUS$288.32m
240 Build King Holdings
0.09xn/aUS$149.99m
1799 0.4xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies35PS00.40.81.21.62+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1799 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Hong Kong Construction industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1799's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1799 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1799 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1799 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$8.09
HK$11.58
+43.1%
12.6%HK$13.54HK$9.16n/a5
Nov ’25HK$9.86
HK$11.81
+19.8%
11.5%HK$13.74HK$9.29n/a6
Oct ’25HK$8.45
HK$11.57
+37.0%
19.4%HK$13.85HK$7.20n/a7
Sep ’25HK$7.01
HK$11.57
+65.1%
19.4%HK$13.85HK$7.20n/a7
Aug ’25HK$7.37
HK$11.78
+59.9%
17.3%HK$14.09HK$7.88n/a8
Jul ’25HK$8.10
HK$11.89
+46.8%
16.5%HK$14.07HK$7.87n/a6
Jun ’25HK$9.42
HK$12.52
+32.9%
18.6%HK$16.09HK$7.90n/a7
May ’25HK$8.79
HK$12.88
+46.5%
13.7%HK$16.12HK$10.20n/a7
Apr ’25HK$10.46
HK$15.41
+47.3%
21.1%HK$20.19HK$10.20n/a10
Mar ’25HK$10.28
HK$15.44
+50.1%
22.6%HK$20.28HK$8.40n/a10
Feb ’25HK$9.04
HK$15.44
+70.7%
22.6%HK$20.28HK$8.40n/a10
Jan ’25HK$10.94
HK$16.26
+48.6%
19.1%HK$20.50HK$10.69n/a10
Dec ’24HK$9.71
HK$16.09
+65.7%
19.5%HK$20.03HK$10.44n/a9
Nov ’24HK$11.64
HK$16.46
+41.4%
20.4%HK$19.94HK$10.40HK$9.869
Oct ’24HK$15.46
HK$16.93
+9.5%
16.0%HK$20.00HK$12.79HK$8.459
Sep ’24HK$13.88
HK$16.58
+19.5%
15.8%HK$20.08HK$12.85HK$7.018
Aug ’24HK$15.24
HK$22.15
+45.3%
23.5%HK$27.21HK$12.98HK$7.375
Jul ’24HK$16.60
HK$21.22
+27.8%
23.9%HK$27.19HK$14.19HK$8.106
Jun ’24HK$16.66
HK$22.31
+33.9%
24.8%HK$28.74HK$14.28HK$9.426
May ’24HK$19.32
HK$22.31
+15.5%
24.8%HK$28.74HK$14.28HK$8.796
Apr ’24HK$20.20
HK$23.57
+16.7%
25.9%HK$31.82HK$14.20HK$10.467
Mar ’24n/a
HK$22.70
0%
31.3%HK$32.32HK$12.12HK$10.286
Feb ’24n/a
HK$22.70
0%
31.3%HK$32.32HK$12.12HK$9.046
Jan ’24n/a
HK$26.48
0%
20.9%HK$33.55HK$17.17HK$10.946
Dec ’23n/a
HK$25.74
0%
21.2%HK$32.75HK$16.76HK$9.716
Nov ’23n/a
HK$24.77
0%
23.1%HK$32.24HK$16.50HK$11.645

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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