Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Vistar Holdings (HKG:8535) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Vistar Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0094 = HK$1.5m ÷ (HK$311m - HK$147m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Therefore, Vistar Holdings has an ROCE of 0.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 5.1%.
View our latest analysis for Vistar Holdings
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Vistar Holdings.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Vistar Holdings Tell Us?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Vistar Holdings, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.8%, but since then they've fallen to 0.9%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 47%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 0.9%. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
In Conclusion...
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Vistar Holdings' diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. However the stock has delivered a 76% return to shareholders over the last five years, so investors might be expecting the trends to turn around. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
Vistar Holdings does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.