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These Return Metrics Don't Make SINOPEC Engineering (Group) (HKG:2386) Look Too Strong
What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. Having said that, after a brief look, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) (HKG:2386) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for SINOPEC Engineering (Group):
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.043 = CN¥1.5b ÷ (CN¥82b - CN¥48b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) has an ROCE of 4.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 6.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for SINOPEC Engineering (Group)
Above you can see how the current ROCE for SINOPEC Engineering (Group) compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for SINOPEC Engineering (Group) .
How Are Returns Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about SINOPEC Engineering (Group), given the returns are trending downwards. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 6.3% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on SINOPEC Engineering (Group) becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that SINOPEC Engineering (Group) has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 59%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
The Bottom Line On SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. The market must be rosy on the stock's future because even though the underlying trends aren't too encouraging, the stock has soared 169%. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 2 warning signs for SINOPEC Engineering (Group) (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2386
SINOPEC Engineering (Group)
Provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) contracting services in the People’s Republic of China, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.
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