Stock Analysis

Investors Could Be Concerned With JiaChen Holding Group's (HKG:1937) Returns On Capital

SEHK:1937
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating JiaChen Holding Group (HKG:1937), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on JiaChen Holding Group is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.028 = CN¥8.7m ÷ (CN¥491m - CN¥181m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Therefore, JiaChen Holding Group has an ROCE of 2.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Building industry average of 9.2%.

Check out our latest analysis for JiaChen Holding Group

roce
SEHK:1937 Return on Capital Employed February 6th 2024

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for JiaChen Holding Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how JiaChen Holding Group has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From JiaChen Holding Group's ROCE Trend?

In terms of JiaChen Holding Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 22%, but since then they've fallen to 2.8%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.

On a side note, JiaChen Holding Group has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 37% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Bottom Line

We're a bit apprehensive about JiaChen Holding Group because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Since the stock has skyrocketed 115% over the last three years, it looks like investors have high expectations of the stock. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

JiaChen Holding Group does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

While JiaChen Holding Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether JiaChen Holding Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.