Swire Pacific Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Swire Pacific is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 33.2% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 34.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.5% in 3 years.

Key information

33.2%

Earnings growth rate

34.27%

EPS growth rate

Industrials earnings growth	21.4%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	4.46%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	08 Dec 2025

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Miss: Swire Pacific Limited Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Apr 09

Recent updates

Swire Pacific Limited's (HKG:19) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

Jul 09

Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

May 23

Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

May 02

Earnings Miss: Swire Pacific Limited Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Apr 09

Swire Pacific's (HKG:19) Dividend Will Be Increased To HK$2.10

Apr 07

Some May Be Optimistic About Swire Pacific's (HKG:19) Earnings

Mar 20

Continued Investments Will Strengthen Future Prospects In Aviation And Beverage Markets

Mar 16 Swire Pacific's strategic investments in new markets and projects suggest potential for increased future revenue and asset growth with underappreciated stock valuation implications.

Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At HK$2.10

Mar 16

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Swire Pacific Limited's (HKG:19) Tunnel

Feb 06

Calculating The Fair Value Of Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19)

Jan 15

What Is Swire Pacific Limited's (HKG:19) Share Price Doing?

Dec 24

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:19 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	100,573	12,425	5,853	12,903	7
12/31/2026	93,958	10,278	4,535	11,585	8
12/31/2025	89,525	6,444	2,822	9,872	8
6/30/2025	88,180	1,222	8,441	13,388	N/A
3/31/2025	85,075	2,772	7,262	11,923	N/A
12/31/2024	81,969	4,321	6,082	10,458	N/A
9/30/2024	82,406	16,434	5,874	9,973	N/A
6/30/2024	82,842	28,546	5,665	9,487	N/A
3/31/2024	88,833	28,700	6,040	9,702	N/A
12/31/2023	94,823	28,853	6,415	9,917	N/A
9/30/2023	96,626	17,719	5,816	9,483	N/A
6/30/2023	98,429	6,585	5,217	9,048	N/A
3/31/2023	94,799	5,211	4,973	8,602	N/A
12/31/2022	91,169	3,836	4,728	8,156	N/A
6/30/2022	89,539	7,345	3,430	7,117	N/A
3/31/2022	90,384	6,151	5,439	9,391	N/A
12/31/2021	91,229	4,956	7,448	11,665	N/A
6/30/2021	85,274	827	13,874	17,110	N/A
3/31/2021	81,815	-2,583	11,166	14,285	N/A
12/31/2020	78,356	-5,993	8,458	11,459	N/A
9/30/2020	80,935	-8,834	7,650	11,121	N/A
6/30/2020	81,838	-6,669	6,842	10,782	N/A
3/31/2020	83,745	1,169	6,433	10,662	N/A
12/31/2019	85,652	9,007	6,023	10,541	N/A
9/30/2019	85,432	13,537	6,643	11,003	N/A
6/30/2019	85,211	18,067	7,262	11,465	N/A
3/31/2019	84,909	20,848	N/A	13,451	N/A
12/31/2018	84,606	23,629	N/A	15,436	N/A
9/30/2018	83,475	25,531	N/A	15,028	N/A
6/30/2018	82,343	27,433	N/A	14,619	N/A
3/31/2018	81,316	26,752	N/A	15,110	N/A
12/31/2017	80,289	26,070	N/A	15,600	N/A
9/30/2017	76,407	21,396	N/A	15,373	N/A
6/30/2017	72,525	16,721	N/A	15,146	N/A
3/31/2017	67,457	13,183	N/A	14,168	N/A
12/31/2016	62,389	9,644	N/A	13,190	N/A
9/30/2016	60,858	10,079	N/A	12,298	N/A
6/30/2016	59,327	10,513	N/A	11,406	N/A
3/31/2016	60,106	11,971	N/A	11,685	N/A
12/31/2015	60,885	13,429	N/A	11,963	N/A
9/30/2015	61,854	12,996	N/A	13,018	N/A
6/30/2015	62,823	12,562	N/A	14,073	N/A
3/31/2015	62,062	11,816	N/A	14,274	N/A
12/31/2014	61,301	11,069	N/A	14,474	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 19's forecast earnings growth (33.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 19's earnings (33.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 19's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 19's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (8.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 19's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 19's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.5%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/12/10 16:17
End of Day Share Price	2025/12/10 00:00
Earnings	2025/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Swire Pacific Limited is covered by 19 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Karl Choi	BofA Global Research
Shui Lung Choi	Citigroup Inc
Ming Jie Kiang	CLSA

Swire Pacific Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 41%, revenue upgraded

Earnings Miss: Swire Pacific Limited Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Swire Properties Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended December 31, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 30%

Recent updates

Swire Pacific Limited's (HKG:19) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Swire Pacific Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 12, 2026

Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

We Think Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.30 per share

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 41%, revenue upgraded

Swire Pacific's (HKG:19) Dividend Will Be HK$1.30

First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.60 (vs HK$2.74 in 1H 2024)

Returns At Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Swire Pacific Limited's (HKG:19) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

Swire Pacific Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 07, 2025

Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Less than half of directors are independent

Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Earnings Miss: Swire Pacific Limited Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Swire Pacific Limited Announces Retirement of LEE Wai Mun Rose as Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective May 15, 2025

Swire Pacific's (HKG:19) Dividend Will Be Increased To HK$2.10

Upcoming dividend of HK$2.10 per share

Some May Be Optimistic About Swire Pacific's (HKG:19) Earnings

Continued Investments Will Strengthen Future Prospects In Aviation And Beverage Markets

Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At HK$2.10

Final dividend of HK$2.10 announced

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Swire Pacific Limited Announces A Second Interim (Semi-Annual) Dividend for the Year Ended 31St December 2024, Payable on 09 May 2025

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Swire Properties Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended December 31, 2024

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Swire Pacific Limited's (HKG:19) Tunnel

Calculating The Fair Value Of Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19)

What Is Swire Pacific Limited's (HKG:19) Share Price Doing?

Swire Pacific Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Mar 13, 2025

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.25 per share

Swire Pacific Limited Announces Resignation of ZHANG Zhuo Ping as Executive Director, Effective 1 September 2024

Non-Executive Director recently sold HK$11m worth of stock

Dividend of HK$1.25 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: HK$2.74 (vs HK$2.91 in 1H 2023)

Swire Pacific Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024

Institutional investors acquired 3.50% stake in Cadeler A/S (OB:CADLR) from Swire Pacific Limited (SEHK:19) for NOK 790 million.

Non-Executive Director recently sold HK$12m worth of stock

Swire Pacific Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 09, 2024

Upcoming dividend of HK$2.00 per share

Dividend of HK$2.00 announced

Swire Pacific Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 09, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Swire Pacific Limited Declares Second Interim (Semi-Annual) Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on 03 May 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Swire Pacific Limited (SEHK:19) announces an Equity Buyback for HKD 6,000 million worth of its shares.

Swire Pacific Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 14, 2024

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.20 per share at 5.4% yield

Upcoming dividend of HK$8.12 per share at 4.7% yield

Swire Pacific Limited Announces Special Dividend, Payable on 19 September 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 30%

Swire Pacific Limited Declares First Interim Dividend on Class A and B Shares for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 13 October 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: HK$2.91 (vs HK$0.98 in 1H 2022)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 63%

Swire Pacific Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.85 per share at 5.0% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: HK$2.57 (vs HK$3.31 in FY 2021)

Swire Pacific Limited Resignation of Samuel Compton as Non-Executive Director

Swire Pacific Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Mar 09, 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.15 per share

Price target increased to HK$72.93

First half 2022 earnings released

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity